Tampa carries the highest rain probability across Florida this Halloween Saturday at 79%, with 8.7mm of precipitation expected and winds gusting to 22 mph, according to National Weather Service data. The statewide picture shows a 9-degree temperature spread between Jacksonville’s 75°F high and Miami’s 84°F peak, with conditions deteriorating sharply heading into the new week.

Tampa hits 84°F today with 84% humidity and an 11 mph sustained wind. Miami matches that 84°F high but carries only a 43% rain chance and lighter gusts of 21 mph. Orlando reaches 83°F under cloudy skies with gusts hitting 26 mph and a 28% rain chance. Jacksonville tops out at just 75°F with 83% humidity, 25 mph gusts, and a 42% rain chance.
The most dramatic shift arrives Monday in Orlando, where the high collapses to 71°F with a 99% rain chance and 62.7mm of precipitation forecast. Tampa faces a nearly identical Monday with 96% rain probability and 62.4mm of rain, dropping to a 76°F high. Miami slides to 79°F Monday with a 66% rain chance before partially rebounding to 83°F Tuesday. Jacksonville’s low dips to 68°F Monday as rain moves through.