A 89-percentage-point rain probability gap separates Miami from the rest of the state this week, with South Florida bracing for a soaking Tuesday while cities from Tampa to Jacksonville remain largely dry, according to National Weather Service data.
Miami tops Sunday’s rain risk at 44% with a high of 83°F, a low of 78°F, and winds gusting to 12 mph at 72% humidity. Tampa reaches 84°F under clouds with gusts hitting 25 mph but a 0% rain chance and a low of 64°F. Orlando sits at 81°F with a 64°F low, 57% humidity, and winds gusting to 21 mph — also rain-free. Jacksonville posts the coolest high at 76°F and the coldest low at 56°F, clear skies, and 56% humidity with gusts to 16 mph.
Miami’s rain chance climbs from 44% Sunday to 76% Monday and peaks at 89% Tuesday before falling to 37% Wednesday, while the high drops from 83°F to 79°F across those days. Tampa warms from 84°F Sunday to 88°F Tuesday with rain chances never exceeding 1%. Orlando surges from 81°F Sunday to 93°F Wednesday and 96°F Thursday, with humidity rising to 65% by Wednesday. Jacksonville climbs from 76°F Sunday to 85°F Tuesday.