A 101°F forecast for Jacksonville on Sunday headlines a volatile Independence Day weekend across Florida, according to National Weather Service data, as Tampa faces an 80% rain chance Monday — the highest probability in the statewide dataset.
Miami tops out at 93°F today with 67% humidity, 14 mph winds, and a 25% rain chance. Tampa reaches 91°F with gusts to 14 mph but only a 3% rain chance Friday before rain moves in Saturday at 52%. Orlando sits at 93°F today with 0% rain chance and 62% humidity, while Jacksonville hits 89°F with 60% humidity and 20% rain probability and winds up to 12 mph.
Jacksonville surges to 96°F Saturday under clear skies before peaking at 101°F Sunday with a 32% rain chance and gusts reaching 15 mph. Orlando climbs to 95°F Saturday with a 48% rain chance, then holds at 95°F through Tuesday before dropping sharply to 85°F Wednesday when rain probability spikes to 86%. Tampa’s Monday rain chance of 80% carries 10.5mm of precipitation, rising to 15.6mm Tuesday at a 78% chance before easing to 62% Wednesday. Miami’s rain chance escalates from 40% Saturday to 62% Monday and 67% Wednesday, when winds gust to 16 mph.