Jacksonville is bracing for a near-certain soaking Thursday, with a 96% rain chance topping all Florida cities tracked, according to National Weather Service data. That figure stands in sharp contrast to Tampa’s 30% rain probability, creating a 66-percentage-point spread across the state on the same day.
Jacksonville’s high of 92°F and low of 78°F come with 3.3mm of precipitation and winds gusting to just 8 mph. Orlando reaches 90°F with a 32% rain chance and only 6 mph sustained winds, while Tampa tops out at 89°F under mostly cloudy skies with gusts hitting 15 mph. Miami sits at 87°F with a 57% rain chance, 72% humidity, and 3.5mm of expected precipitation — the highest rain total among southern cities today.
Friday brings Jacksonville surging to 98°F while Miami holds at 87°F and Orlando drops to 87°F from Thursday’s 90°F. Tampa climbs to 91°F Friday before jumping to 92°F Saturday, when its rain chance rises to 44%. Orlando’s most dramatic shift arrives Saturday at 96°F — a 9-degree jump from Friday’s 87°F — before Sunday’s 95°F reading pairs with a 49% rain chance and 4.3mm of precipitation. Tampa’s rain chance spikes to 79% by Tuesday, September 15, its highest of the forecast period.