JACKSONVILLE - Seven Jacksonville Jaguars analysts are divided heading into Sunday’s Week 4 road matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, with most agreeing the game hinges on the turnover battle and whether Trevor Lawrence can sustain his early-season form away from home.

Lawrence has thrown seven touchdown passes in two home games this season but was held scoreless through the air in a road loss at Denver, a split that looms large as the Jaguars attempt to snap a four-game losing streak against Cincinnati. The Bengals have not lost to Jacksonville since 2019.

“The Jaguars are as complete a team as there is in football through three weeks,” said Brian Sexton, jaguars.com senior correspondent. “That doesn’t mean they win every week, but they’re playing complementary football - and as they proved last Sunday against the New England Patriots, they can handle a big, physical defensive front.”

Sexton predicted a Jaguars field-goal victory. Radio voice Frank Frangie was more emphatic. “The Jags are better and should win. This team is elite. It is well-coached. The word is out. I expect the Jags to beat the Bengals,” Frangie said, pointing to Lawrence’s top-five finish in last year’s MVP voting and the continued emergence of running back Bhayshul Tuten.

Not everyone shares that confidence. Brent Martineau, sports director at Action Sports Jax, predicted a 31-30 Bengals win. “I don’t love this one for the Jaguars,” Martineau said. “Cincinnati is coming off a loss, and the Bengals haven’t lost to the Jags since 2019. I think it is going to be another entertaining game, but Burrow and the Bengals will break the Jags’ heart in the final moments.”

Former NFL defensive end and Jaguars analyst Austen Lane called it a coin toss, noting that Jacksonville has allowed 13 explosive passing plays through three games - a vulnerability Cincinnati’s offense, led by quarterback Joe Burrow and wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, is built to exploit. “This game feels like a coin toss,” Lane said. “The Jaguars have struggled in Cincinnati in recent years and the Bengals are coming off a loss, so I expect them to bring their best at home.”

The Bengals’ run defense, ranked in the top 10 through three games after finishing as the NFL’s worst last season, adds another layer of difficulty. Cincinnati held running backs Bucky Irving and David Montgomery in check against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Houston Texans before allowing Steelers running back Jaylen Warren 127 rushing yards last week. Jaguars correspondent John Shipley flagged red-zone efficiency as a separate concern, noting that Jacksonville went 5-of-5 scoring touchdowns inside the red zone in Week 3 against the Patriots after several red-zone drives ended in an interception and a turnover on downs against the Bengals last season.

Longtime NFL assistant coach and Jaguars analyst Mark Duffner warned that Cincinnati will arrive motivated. “The Bengals will bring their ‘A’ game in all three phases,” Duffner said. “They are well-coached and felt they ‘beat themselves’ last week against the Steelers with sloppy play in some areas with penalties and procedural errors. They will fix that.”

Kickoff at Paycor Stadium is scheduled for Week 4 of the 2026 NFL regular season.