Miami is tracking toward an 86% rain chance by Sunday, October 25, the highest probability in Tuesday’s statewide forecast, according to National Weather Service data. That figure dwarfs Jacksonville’s 0% rain chance today and Tampa’s completely dry outlook through Friday, creating a 86-percentage-point spread between South Florida and the rest of the state.

Florida Weather Forecast Chart

Miami today carries a 36% rain chance with a high of 82°F, a low of 75°F, 78% humidity, and gusts reaching 20 mph. Tampa is clear at a high of 79°F and a low of 61°F, with 70% humidity and gusts up to 18 mph. Orlando matches Tampa’s 79°F high and 60°F low under clear skies, with gusts hitting 20 mph and 0% rain chance. Jacksonville is the coolest major city today at a high of 75°F and a low of 59°F, with 62% humidity and gusts up to 18 mph.

Miami’s low drops from 75°F today to 67°F by Thursday, October 22, before rain returns Friday at a 27% chance and 3.5mm of precipitation. Tampa’s Saturday brings gusts spiking to 34 mph with a 19% rain chance. Orlando cools sharply to a 68°F high Sunday with a 36% rain chance and 89% humidity. Miami’s Sunday low of 71°F paired with that 86% rain chance and 3.3mm of projected precipitation closes the forecast window.