Miami’s 89% rain chance Saturday stands as the most acute weather story across Florida today, according to National Weather Service data, with 4.6mm of precipitation expected in a city sitting at a high of just 83°F — the coolest top temperature among major metros.

Tampa reaches a high of 91°F Saturday with a low of 77°F, winds up to 8 mph, and a 53% rain chance producing 2.8mm of precipitation at 69% humidity. Orlando matches Tampa’s 91°F high with gusts reaching 18 mph, a 37% rain chance, and only 1.1mm of precipitation expected despite 69% humidity. Jacksonville climbs to 87°F with a low of 75°F, 71% humidity, winds gusting to 13 mph, and a 66% rain chance dropping 4.0mm.
Tampa’s rain threat intensifies sharply Sunday, with a 93% rain chance and 10.7mm of precipitation as the high climbs to 92°F, then Monday brings 11.3mm at 92°F with 70% humidity. Orlando surges to 93°F Sunday before hitting 94°F Monday, when 38.8mm of precipitation is forecast at a 58% rain chance. Miami dries slightly Sunday to a 34% rain chance at 87°F before rain returns Monday at 39%.