Tampa faces the highest rain probability in the state this weekend, with an 85% chance of rain Saturday and 32.3mm of precipitation expected, according to National Weather Service data. That figure dwarfs every other forecast in the four-city outlook and arrives on the heels of a 41% rain chance already hanging over Tampa today.

Today, Tampa reaches a high of 87°F with gusts up to 23 mph — the strongest winds in the dataset — while its low sits at 76°F. Miami hits 85°F with a 66% rain chance and 14.2mm of precipitation, carrying 87% humidity and gusts of 16 mph. Orlando reaches 85°F with a 50% rain chance and winds gusting to 18 mph, while Jacksonville also tops out at 87°F under cloudy skies with a 38% rain chance and 6.9mm of precipitation.
Saturday brings Orlando to its weekend peak of 89°F, even as a 45% rain chance and 11.7mm of precipitation move in. Jacksonville climbs to 88°F Saturday before dropping to a low of 73°F, with a 61% rain chance. By Sunday, Tampa cools sharply to 84°F as rain chances fall to 26%. Miami edges up to 86°F Sunday with humidity dropping to 81%. By Wednesday, both Tampa and Orlando bottom out at 75°F highs, with Tampa carrying 96% humidity and a 52% rain chance.