Tampa is bracing for a 90% chance of rain today — the highest precipitation probability across the state — while Jacksonville reaches a scorching 94°F under mostly cloudy skies, according to National Weather Service data. The 35-percentage-point gap between Tampa’s rain odds and Jacksonville’s 4% chance marks the sharpest weather contrast across Florida on Friday, July 17.
Tampa’s high of 93°F comes with winds up to 11 mph and expected precipitation of 4.5mm, while Jacksonville’s 94°F high arrives with nearly calm winds of just 5 mph and humidity at 59%. Miami hits 93°F with a 47% rain chance, 69% humidity, and gusts reaching 17 mph. Orlando tops out at 92°F with only a 24% rain chance and the lightest winds statewide at 4 mph, with humidity sitting at 63%.
Jacksonville surges to 97°F on Saturday, July 18, before dropping back to 92°F on Sunday. Tampa cools to 90°F Saturday but carries 53.8mm of projected precipitation, then climbs to 88°F Sunday with a 74% rain chance. Orlando dips to 89°F Saturday before rebounding to 90°F Sunday, then jumps to 94°F Monday and peaks at 95°F Tuesday. Miami eases from 92°F Saturday to 87°F Sunday, where rain chances fall sharply to just 7%.