Tampa is bracing for a near-certain soaking Wednesday, with a 98% rain chance and 35.0mm of precipitation forecast, the highest rainfall probability across the state today, according to National Weather Service data. That figure dwarfs Miami’s comparatively modest 33% rain chance, creating a dramatic west-to-east weather divide across the peninsula.

Florida Weather Forecast Chart

Tampa leads the wet conditions with a high of 81°F, 92% humidity, and winds gusting to 27 mph — the strongest gusts recorded statewide today. Orlando is not far behind, posting an 85% rain chance, a high of 81°F, 93% humidity, and gusts reaching 15 mph, with 30.5mm of precipitation expected. Jacksonville carries a 70% rain chance with a high of 82°F, a low of 71°F, and gusts up to 24 mph, though precipitation there is limited to 3.5mm. Miami, the driest city today, reaches 91°F with a low of 79°F, 73% humidity, and gusts of only 15 mph.

The three-day outlook brings little relief to Tampa, where Thursday’s rain chance remains at 91% with a high of 79°F before easing to 44% Friday at 85°F. Orlando faces its heaviest rain threat Thursday, when 81.8mm of precipitation is forecast at 82°F with a 82% rain chance. Miami’s rain chance climbs to 45% Thursday at 88°F, then surges to 85% Saturday when the high drops to 83°F and 18.2mm of rain is expected. Jacksonville cools sharply Thursday, dropping to a low of 56°F under mostly cloudy skies with only a 27% rain chance.