Tampa is bracing for a near-certain soaking this Sunday, with a 99% rain chance and 20.6mm of precipitation expected, according to National Weather Service data — the highest rain probability of any major Florida city today and a stark contrast to Jacksonville’s comparatively dry 22% chance.

Tampa tops out at 81°F with a low of 72°F, humidity at 92%, and wind gusts reaching 22 mph. Orlando is nearly as wet, posting an 89% rain chance with 13.9mm of precipitation, a high of 78°F, and gusts up to 22 mph. Miami carries a 68% rain chance with 11.3mm of rain expected, a high of 79°F, 83% humidity, and gusts of 18 mph. Jacksonville, the outlier, reaches only 73°F under mostly cloudy skies with just 0.5mm of precipitation and 24 mph gusts — the strongest winds in the state today.
Heading into Monday, Tampa’s rain chance drops slightly to 81% but precipitation jumps to 25.4mm, with winds gusting to 26 mph. Orlando climbs to 84°F Monday before cooling to 79°F Tuesday as rain chances fall to 26%. Miami’s heaviest rain arrives Monday at 84% with 42.9mm of precipitation, then eases to 62% Tuesday. By Wednesday, Tampa clears to sunny skies at 82°F with only a 14% rain chance, while Miami holds onto a 22% rain chance at 83°F.